This is one of the times I truely deviated from my plan. There is a lot of work to do with the prediction algorithms, but instead of focusing I made a small app that can be used to visualize rider and team preparations for the Giro d’Italia. Talking about the Giro, did you already see our statistics on the Giro d’Italia race page? Before we continue there are 2 important things:
It’s a busy time for cycling fans. The Giro and Tour of California just started and today the 65th 4 Jours de Dunkerque starts as well. This HC race has quite some competition from the aforementioned races, but still the startlist looks very interesting with e.g. Bryan Coquard, Christophe Laporte, André Greipel and Dylan Groenewegen. It’s also great to see Niki Terpstra on a bike again after his crash in the Ronde van Vlaanderen.
The 14th Amgen Tour of California starts off today. This event runs at the same time as the Giro d’Italia, but it is definitely worth your attention as well. The startlist is interesting. Despite the fact that there is only one true sprint stage there are quite some sprinters that decided to show up. Among others: Sagan, Jakobsen and Halvorsen. Especially the short stage on Friday, May 17 will be interesting with two tough climbs before the finish on Mount Baldy (HC).
The 102nd Giro d’Italia starts tomorrow (May 11) with a short time trial of 8 kilometers in Bologna. The last 2.1 kilometers of the time trial is a serious climb of 9.7% on average and stretches of maximum 16%. Do not forget out to check out our Giro d’Italia race page. Table 1 show the predictions for the Giro d’Italia Zweeler poule. The predictions come with the usual disclaimer:
The 5th Tour de Yorkshire starts on May 2, 2019 and this will be the first edition as a 2.HC race. Many will look at this race with additional interest, because the World Champtionship take place in this region and will overlap with stage 2. Table 1 show the predictions for the Tour de Yorkshire Zweeler poule. The predictions come with the usual disclaimer:
On Labor Day it’s time for the 57th Eschborn Frankfurt. It will be the last one day race on World Tour level until August. The race over 187.5 kilometers has 8 climbs. Although some sprinters may have a bit of trouble digesting the uphill kilometers, the last climb is at kilometer 146. This means there are 41.5 flat kilometers left to get back into position for the final laps through Frankfurt.
The 73rd Tour de Romandie starts on April 30, 2019 and is for some Giro GC contenders the dress rehearsal (e.g Primož Roglič, and Ilnur Zakarin). The total length of the six stages is 700 kilometers and this includes two time trials. First there is the the 3.9 kilometers prologue in Neuchâtel, and finally the last stage is a time trial of 20.
The 105th Liège Bastogne Liège (Luik Bastenaken Luik) is the fourth cycling monument of the year and marks the end of the spring classics. The race lasts 256 kilometers and features 11 climbs. The riders start with the last climb after 241 kilometers, after which they set course for the finish in Luik (unlike last year when the finish was in Ans).
Introduction Perhaps long overdue, but here we will review all predictions we published since the beginning of the year up to the Amstel Gold Race. We distinguish two types of races: one day races (ODR) / classics and stage races / multiday races (MDR). The predictions for these two race types are generated with different models, but for each race type the model specification was the same for all predictions up to now.
The 83rd La Flèche Wallonne (De Wijlse Pijl) over 195.5 kilometers finishes at the famous Mur De Huy. This year the last 77 kilometers takes place on a final lap of about 29 kilometers long. In total the 77 kilometers feature 9 climbs - three times the Ereffe - Cherave - Mur de Huy combination. It will definitely be an exiting race featuring last years winner Alaphilippe, five time winner Alejandro Valverde and for Daniel Martin it’s a coin toss between a crash or a spot on the podium.