The Driedaagse Brugge De Panne is the first of a sequence of five classics in Flanders at the world tour level. The Driedaagse has an impressive startlist of sprinters featuring Viviani, Groenewegen, Gaviria, Kittel and more. With such a field and the supporting teams it is easy to assume that we will see another sprint this Wednesday. However, historically sprint victories are not that common in the Driedaagse. Only in 2018 Viviani took a sprint win, but in the years 2012 - 2017 we have seen solo victories with small margings.
The predictions for the Driedaagse Brugge De Panne can be found in Table 1. and are based on Zweeler game points (so you do not see e.g. probabilities). In the Zweeler game’s riders score points by ending up in the top 25 of a race. The first place is good for 120 points, the 25th spot yields just 1 point. Points scored as overall winner (separate prediction) are not included. Since it is a single race game more expected points indeed mean a higher probability of winning. Furthermore, keep in mind that:
- Our predictions are based on quantitative models and are presented in hard tables instead of stories.
- We are continuously improving our prediction models and some type of predictions may be better than others.
- Especially the classics/single day race algorithms have room for improvement. We, for example, do not account for nationality and race location. Not something to judge lightly in Flanders!
- Always combine these cycling predictions with other information.
- The predictions are generated for the riders on the startlist that we downloaded the 25th of March from Zweeler.
If you have any questions don’t hesitate to send us a message.