The first monument of the year is about to start: the 110th Milan San Remo. The 291(!) kilometer long parcours is mainly flat, but has quite some surprises. The last 30 kilometers feature two climbs with with slopes up to 8-9%. However, it is very likely the decision will only be made in the last kilometer of the race that is until 600 meters from the finish going downhill at -4.5%.
The predictions in Table 1 are based on Zweeler points for the Milan San Remo game (so you do not see e.g. probabilities). In this game riders score points by ending up in the top 25 of a race. The first place is good for 120 points, the 25th spot yields just 1 point. Points scored as overall winner (separate prediction) are not included. Since it is a single race game more expected points indeed mean a higher probability of winning. Furthermore, keep in mind that:
- Our predictions are based on quantitative models and are presented in hard tables instead of stories.
- We are continuously improving our prediction models and some type of predictions may be better than others (especially the classics/single day race algorithms have room for improvement).
- Always combine these cycling predictions with other information.
- The predictions are generated for the riders on the startlist that we downloaded the 21st of March from Zweeler.
If you have any questions don’t hesitate to send us a message.