Shame on me. Being one day late with the Zweeler prediction of the biggest cycling event of the year. The first stage is already finished, but - scout’s honor - I did not use those results when making the predictions below.
Do not forget out to check out our Tour de France race page.
The predictions for the Tour de France can be found in Table 1 and are based on Zweeler game points (so you do not see e.g. probabilities). In the Zweeler game’s riders score points by ending up in the top 25 of a race. The first place is good for 120 points, the 25th spot yields just 1 point. Points scored as overall winner (separate prediction) are not included. Since it is a single race game more expected points indeed mean a higher probability of winning. Furthermore, keep in mind that:
- Our predictions are based on quantitative models and are presented in hard tables instead of stories.
- We are continuously improving our prediction models and some type of predictions may be better than others (especially the classics/single day race algorithms have room for improvement).
- Always combine these cycling predictions with other information.
- The predictions are generated for the riders on the final startlist that we downloaded the 7th of July from Zweeler.
If you have any questions don’t hesitate to send us a message.