Tour of Norway 2019 Predictions

The Tour of Norway is going to be an interesting one. First of all, the line-up is great. Not only the Norwegian suspects (Hagen, Halvorsen, and Kristoff) are there, but for example also Luis León Sanchez, Alvaro Hodeg, Tim Wellens and Danny van Poppel show up at the start. The stages are quite ‘sprinter-friendly’, but the teams consist of six riders. Hence, it will not be that easy to control the race.

The predictions for the Tour of Norway can be found in Table 1 and are based on Zweeler game points (so you do not see e.g. probabilities). In the Zweeler game’s riders score points by ending up in the top 25 of a race. The first place is good for 120 points, the 25th spot yields just 1 point. Points scored as overall winner (separate prediction) are not included. Since it is a single race game more expected points indeed mean a higher probability of winning. Furthermore, keep in mind that:

  • Our predictions are based on quantitative models and are presented in hard tables instead of stories.
  • We are continuously improving our prediction models and some type of predictions may be better than others (especially the classics/single day race algorithms have room for improvement).
  • Always combine these cycling predictions with other information.
  • The predictions are generated for the riders on the preliminary startlist that we downloaded the 27th of May from Zweeler.

If you have any questions don’t hesitate to send us a message.